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Essentially, Expected Goals (xG) is a metric that's intended 💯 to measure the probability of a shot resulting in a goal.

What is Expected Goals (xG)? - Jobs in Football

Expected goal 💯 assigns a value to each shot between 0.00 and 1.00 to reflect the probability that it will result in a 💯 goal. A shot that measures 0.01 xG suggests it could reasonably be expected to result in a goal one in 💯 100 times. In other words, there is a 1 per cent chance it will go in  so not 💯 a very good chance.

Expected goals: explained - The Coaches' Voice

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